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Previously, this LPA has a 30-50% of becoming a typhoon in the next 24 hours and will be called CRISING - the 3rd typhoon to enter Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) for 2013.
This weather disturbance is expected to bring heavy rains and thunderstorms in Mindanao particularly in Davao, Caraga and SOCCSKSARGEN which may trigger flashfloods and landslides.
PAGASA LPA/CRISING Forecast Track
Coordinates: 7.8N, 117.9E
Signal # 1 (45-60kph winds)
Luzon: Southern Palawan
Visayas: NONE
Mindanao: NONE
Forecast Track:
(1) 430 km Southwest of Puerto Princesa City - Friday
(2) 590 km Southwest of Puerto Princesa City - Saturday
Strength: 45 kph near center
Movement: West Northwest at 15 kph
Rainfall Volume: 5-15 mm/hr (moderate-heavy) within 300 km
LandFall: First-Southern Tip of Davao del Sur, 2nd-Zamboanga and possibly 3rd on Southern Palawan.
Distance to Land: 450 km Northwest of Zamboanga City
Everybody is advised to prepare in advanced. To monitor your weather and rain probability from time to time in your area, please visit DOST Project NOAH.
Did You Know:
In 2011 and 2010 there is no typhoon on PAR for the month of January and February. In 2009, AURING (January) and BISING (February) entered our Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
Updates: Typhoon CRISING is already outside PAR as of 9am February 22, 2012
Sources:
PAGASA
Typhoon2000
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